19 August 2026
The vacation rental market is not what it was five years ago, and it will not be what it is today five years from now. Investors who keep chasing the same old destinations are going to miss the wave. The shift is already happening, driven by remote work, changing traveler preferences, infrastructure improvements, and a stubborn housing shortage that pushes demand into secondary and tertiary markets. If you are serious about putting money into short-term rentals, you need to look beyond the obvious beach towns and ski resorts. The next few years will reward those who understand where demand is moving, not where it has been.
Let me be clear about one thing from the start: the golden era of buying a cheap condo in a tourist trap and listing it on Airbnb is over. The market has matured. Local regulations are tightening, operating costs are rising, and traveler expectations are higher than ever. But that does not mean the opportunity is gone. It means the opportunity has moved. And it has moved to places that offer something specific: a combination of lifestyle appeal, year-round demand, and relative affordability compared to saturated markets.

This is why traditional tourist hotspots like Orlando or the Las Vegas Strip are becoming less attractive for new investors. Their occupancy is tied to events and theme parks, which can vanish overnight. Compare that to a place like Asheville, North Carolina, or Bozeman, Montana. These cities have a built-in quality of life that attracts people year-round, not just in peak season. They have outdoor recreation, good food scenes, cultural amenities, and increasingly, reliable internet infrastructure.
The investor who understands this shift will stop asking "where do people want to vacation?" and start asking "where do people want to live if they did not have to be in an office?" That is a fundamentally different question, and it leads to different answers.
Think about places like Knoxville, Tennessee, or Greenville, South Carolina. Neither is a household name in the vacation rental world, but both have growing airports, a steady influx of new residents, and a surrounding region full of natural beauty. Knoxville sits at the gateway to the Smoky Mountains, which is already one of the most visited national parks in the country. Yet the city itself is still relatively underbuilt in terms of high-quality short-term rentals. Greenville has transformed its downtown into a destination in its own right, with a waterfall park, a vibrant restaurant scene, and proximity to the Blue Ridge Mountains.
The key is to find markets where the demand is not entirely dependent on a single season. A ski town like Aspen has enormous revenue potential, but it also has enormous costs and extreme seasonality. A place like Knoxville has less peak revenue, but it has a longer shoulder season and a more diverse demand base. For most investors, that trade-off is worth it because it reduces risk.
Also, consider the driving market. Many of the best performing rentals in the near future will come from drive-to destinations within a four hour radius of a major metro area. The pandemic taught people to enjoy road trips, and that habit has stuck. Markets like the Catskills in New York, the Ozarks in Arkansas, and the Upper Peninsula of Michigan are all benefiting from this trend. But the ones that will perform best are those with a mix of drive and fly access.

Consider the Gulf Coast of Florida, but not the obvious spots like Naples or Sarasota. Look at places like Port St. Joe, Mexico Beach, or even the barrier islands near Cedar Key. These areas have beautiful beaches, fishing, and a slower pace of life. They are not overbuilt with high-rise condos, which means the existing rental supply is limited. When supply is limited and demand is growing steadily, prices and occupancy rates tend to rise together.
Another example is the Outer Banks of North Carolina, but specifically the northern beaches like Corolla or Duck. These areas have been popular for decades, but they have seen a recent surge in demand from remote workers who want a longer-term rental with ocean views. The challenge is that these markets are highly seasonal, so you need to be prepared for lower winter occupancy. However, the nightly rates during peak season are so high that they can carry the year if you manage expenses carefully.
The alternative is to look for coastal markets that have a secondary attraction beyond the beach. For example, a town with a strong fishing community, a winter bird migration, or a local festival season can extend demand. Destin, Florida, is a good example of a market that has managed to stretch its season through spring break and fall fishing tournaments. But Destin is now expensive. The next Destin is probably a smaller town with similar attributes that has not yet been discovered.
Take Driggs, Idaho, for example. It sits right next to Jackson Hole, Wyoming, but the prices are dramatically lower. Jackson Hole is one of the most expensive real estate markets in the country, and it has strict regulations on short-term rentals. Driggs, on the other hand, is more welcoming to investors, and it offers the same mountain scenery and access to Grand Teton National Park. The airport in Jackson serves both areas, so you get the connectivity without the inflated prices.
Similarly, look at areas like Salida, Colorado, or Pagosa Springs. These towns have hot springs, river rafting, and a growing arts scene. They are not as famous as Vail or Aspen, but they offer a more authentic experience, which is exactly what many travelers are seeking. The key is to find a town that has a critical mass of amenities, not just a pretty view. A rental in a town with no restaurants and no activities will struggle, no matter how good the scenery is.
This is not just a legal issue; it is a financial issue. If the local government changes the rules after you buy, your investment could become worthless. Look for towns that are actively welcoming to short-term rentals, or at least neutral. Towns that have already gone through the regulatory process and settled on a stable framework are safer bets than towns that are just starting to debate the issue.
The advantage of a college town is that demand is not highly seasonal. There is always something happening on campus. The disadvantage is that supply can be tight, and local regulations may favor long-term rentals for students. However, if you can find a property that is zoned for short-term use, you can capture a very reliable income stream.
Burlington is a particularly interesting case because it combines a college (University of Vermont) with a vibrant downtown, lake access, and proximity to skiing in the winter. It has year-round appeal. The downside is that it is not cheap. But compared to other New England vacation destinations like Cape Cod or Newport, Burlington offers better year-round occupancy potential.
The Door County peninsula in Wisconsin is a classic example. It has been a regional vacation destination for generations, but it has recently gained national attention for its charming towns, cherry orchards, and waterfront properties. The demand is strong, but the supply of new construction is limited by zoning and environmental regulations. That scarcity is good for existing owners.
Another area to watch is the Lake Michigan shoreline in Michigan, particularly around Traverse City. This area has a booming wine industry, excellent fishing, and a growing reputation as a food destination. It attracts visitors from Chicago, Detroit, and even further afield. The key is that it has a long summer season and a decent fall color season, which helps balance the year.
The Midwest is not for everyone. The winters are harsh, and some travelers will not consider it a vacation destination. But for investors who are willing to be patient and target the right micro-markets, the returns can be very solid. The lower purchase prices mean that even moderate occupancy rates can produce good cash-on-cash returns.
Another option is Portugal, which has become a hotspot for digital nomads. The Algarve region and the coastal towns near Lisbon have seen significant demand growth. The Golden Visa program has attracted foreign investment, but the rules have changed, and you need to be careful about the current requirements. Portugal offers a lower cost of entry than many US markets, but the rental yields are also lower.
The main trade-off with international investing is management. You cannot just drive over to fix a leaky faucet. You need a reliable local property manager, and that eats into your profits. Unless you have a strong connection to the country or a trusted partner on the ground, international investing is usually not the best first move.
First, look at the demand drivers. Is there a growing population? Is there a major employer or a university? Is there a natural feature that attracts visitors? Is there a strong local economy that supports restaurants, shops, and services? If you cannot answer yes to at least two of these, move on.
Second, check the supply. How many short-term rentals are already in the market? Are new permits being issued? If the market is saturated, you will be fighting for bookings. If it is underbuilt, you have an opportunity, but you also need to ask why it is underbuilt. Sometimes it is because the demand is not actually there.
Third, understand the seasonality. Look at the occupancy data for the past few years. Be honest about the slow months. If you cannot survive the slow months, the market is not for you.
Fourth, evaluate the regulatory environment. Talk to existing owners. Read the local ordinances. Check if there is a cap on licenses. Ask about the renewal process. This is the part that can kill your investment, so do not skip it.
Fifth, run realistic numbers. Do not use the peak season rates. Use the average nightly rate across the entire year. Factor in cleaning fees, property management fees (even if you manage it yourself, your time is worth something), utilities, maintenance, property taxes, insurance, and a reserve for unexpected repairs. If the numbers still work, then the market might be worth a deeper look.
Another mistake is underestimating operating costs. Vacation rentals have much higher wear and tear than long-term rentals. Guests are not careful. They spill things, break things, and use the appliances in ways you never imagined. You need to budget for regular replacement of furniture, linens, and kitchenware.
A third mistake is ignoring the competition. If there are fifty other rentals in your immediate area, you need to be either significantly better or significantly cheaper. Most investors think they will be the best, but they rarely are. Look at the existing listings, read the reviews, and see what guests are complaining about. Then fix those things in your own property.
Finally, do not ignore the importance of professional photography and staging. This sounds obvious, but many investors list their properties with poor photos and cluttered interiors. In a market with high competition, the listing presentation can make the difference between 60% and 90% occupancy.
Dynamic pricing is essential. Do not set a single rate and leave it. Use pricing tools that adjust based on local events, seasonality, and competitor rates. This can increase your revenue by 20% or more without any additional effort.
Guest experience is another differentiator. The days of just handing over a key are over. Guests expect fast responses to messages, clear check-in instructions, and a clean, well-stocked property. They also expect a personal touch, like a local recommendation list or a small welcome gift. These details drive reviews, and reviews drive bookings.
Consider offering longer stays. Monthly rentals are becoming more common as remote workers look for change of scenery. A monthly rate is lower than a nightly rate, but it guarantees occupancy and reduces turnover costs. For many properties, a mix of short stays and monthly stays is the optimal strategy.
There is no single perfect market. There are only good matches between your goals, your budget, and your tolerance for risk. Some of you will do well in a mountain town, others in a coastal community, and still others in a college town. The key is to do your homework, be realistic about the numbers, and be prepared to adapt as the market changes.
The opportunity is there. It just requires you to look in the right places.
all images in this post were generated using AI tools
Category:
Real Estate OpportunitiesAuthor:
Cynthia Wilkins